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The final pairing at the 2025 Tour Championship will feature a pair of players looking to pull off a relatively unlikely victory given their respective histories entering East Lake Golf Club. Should Patrick Cantlay or Tommy Fleetwood emerge as FedEx Cup champion at the conclusion of play Sunday, it will mark their first win of the season -- for Fleetwood, the first win of his entire PGA Tour career.

Though Fleetwood led by as many as three strokes during Moving Day, he came back to the pack with a double bogey and ultimately posted a 67. This as Cantlay charged from behind with a 64 -- his lowest round since January -- to match the Englishman at 16 under atop the leaderboard. Neither of their names may have been in this position had the old starting strokes format remained for the FedEx Cup Playoffs finale; rather than Scottie Scheffler starting the first round with a 10-stroke advantage, he'll be battling from four shots back with 18 holes to play. Indeed, the PGA Tour has successfully created parity on its final leaderboard of the season.

Fleetwood entered the weekend with a share of the lead in his latest attempt at capturing his first PGA Tour crown. It was mostly smooth sailing across the first 14 holes of his third round, as he was 3 under on his day and pushed the lead out to three shots as 36-hole co-leader Russell Henley stalled out. 

However, disaster struck on the 220-yard, par-3 15th hole as Fleetwood made his worst iron swing of the day at the worst time, leaving a 6 iron in the water, short and right of the green. That led to a double bogey that dropped him out of the lead, seemingly the latest example of Fleetwood flying too close to the sun in his pursuit of a first stateside victory. Instead of wilting, he showed some incredible resolve to bounce back with back-to-back birdies on the 16th and 17th holes to reclaim a share of the lead going into the final round. 

Cantlay is looking to snap a drought of his own as he hasn't won on the PGA Tour since 2022; however, the friendly confines of East Lake Golf Club -- where he won the Tour Championship and FedEx Cup back in 2021 -- are working their magic with his game. Cantlay came into Atlanta not only needing a big week to create a positive result from this season but also to make a final push for a spot on the United States Ryder Cup team.

Through three rounds, he has accomplished that goal. On Saturday, Cantlay shot his second 64 of the week to get to 16 under, charging to the clubhouse with four birdies in his final five holes. Given the difficulty of the 14th and 15th, that was quite the accomplishment, and it was enough to get Cantlay into the final pairing with a chance at a second career FedEx Cup crown. 

The co-leaders will enter Sunday with some heavy burdens on their shoulders, which should create a fascinating, dramatic final round at the Tour Championship. 

For Fleetwood, it will be his third attempt at converting a 54-hole lead or co-lead this season, as he's fallen painfully short on Sundays at the Travelers Championship and FedEx St. Jude Championship. Cantlay will not only be looking to impress U.S. Ryder Cup captain Keegan Bradley, he'll be competing alongside him for the Tour Championship as Bradley is only three shots back. All of this with a $10 million prize and the FedEx Cup title on the line.

Tommy Fleetwood's 54-hole leads on PGA Tour

2025 Tour Championship

0 (T1)

--

2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship

1

T3

2025 Travelers Championship

3

T2

2020 Cognizant Classic

1

3rd

The leaders

1. Tommy Fleetwood, Patrick Cantlay (-16): For the third time this season. we will ride the rollercoaster that is a final round with Fleetwood in the final pairing. The first two ended in more heartbreak, but he continues to say he'd rather be in those positions than not. Fleetwood will get another chance to shed the weight of all those close calls Sunday. 

In his way will be Cantlay, who can sew up a Ryder Cup spot with a win and turn the final pairing into a Sunday singles preview for Bethpage Black. Cantlay has returned to form with the irons and putter this week after a down season in both categories, and his comfort at East Lake could help settle his nerves a bit quicker on Sunday. 

Contenders

3. Russell Henley (-14)
4. Keegan Bradley (-13)
5. Scottie Scheffler (-12)

Henley couldn't get it out of first gear Saturday, but a birdie on the 18th got him into third alone, just two off the lead. He gave that a small fist pump as he knew how important it was to stay in touch with Cantlay and Fleetwood, and he will look to apply some early pressure Sunday at a course he's played well in his career. 

Bradley fired the round of the day with a 63, tying his lowest stretch of the season. He had a phenomenal day, including a hole-out eagle on the 6th, as he's charged into contention over the last two days. Bradley has played well enough to take most of the stress out of the decision whether to pick himself for the Ryder Cup team, so now he can go into Sunday looking to track down a FedEx Cup title. 

And then there's Scheffler, lurking four shots off the pace after a frustrating day with the flat stick. The world No. 1 missed three putts inside 10 feet for birdie Saturday. After his last one, he spiked his putter into his bag. Following his round, he said he felt just a bit off on his reads, but if he gives himself that many good looks again Sunday, he could absolutely make a run at the top of the leaderboard. 

2025 Tour Championship updated odds, picks

  • Tommy Fleetwood (8/5)
  • Patrick Cantlay (2-1)
  • Scottie Scheffler (11/2)
  • Russell Henley (6-1)
  • Keegan Bradley (16-1)

A financial investment on Fleetwood is not needed to sweat along with the Englishman as he attempts to close out his first win. The move is to abstain from the final pairing. Henley provides the most value. He didn't have his best Saturday but still scratched out a 69 to stay in the mix, and he is capable of going low -- darting in front of Fleetwood and Cantlay in the final stretch.

  Patrick Cantlay shoots 64, posts clubhouse lead at 16 under

Cantlay's second 64 of the week has him in the lead alone for now at 16 under. The U.S. Ryder Cup hopeful is putting together quite the final push for a spot at Bethpage next month and will go into Sunday with a great chance at picking up his first win of the season in the Tour Championship -- and collecting a $10 million paycheck. Tommy Fleetwood is still finishing up and will have a good look at birdie on No. 17 and then gets to play the par-5 18th, but Cantlay is assured a spot in the final pairing on Sunday whether he has the lead or not. 

  Fleetwood bounces back with a birdie from the fairway bunker on 16

After a disastrous double, Fleetwood showed serious gumption on the 16th. He found the fairway bunker off the tee but was able to fire a wedge just right of the pin with a wedge from 141 yards and finally made a putt of distance on the back nine to settle the nerves and get back into a share of the lead at 15 under. Patrick Cantlay pumped his drive on the par-5 18th and would be expected to make birdie from there, but Fleetwood will have his chance on the last as well coming up. 

    Tommy Fleetwood finds the water on the 15th, Patrick Cantlay now the solo leader

A horrific 6 iron from Fleetwood never came close to finding dry land, as the solo leader came up well short and right of the green on the 220-yard par 3 that's all the way over water. After going to the drop zone, he hit a wedge to 16 feet away for bogey and couldn't make that to limit the damage and walked off with a double bogey 5. 

The 15th has been a nightmare for just about everyone in the field on Saturday, as it's playing well over par and a third of the field found the water off the tee, so Fleetwood has plenty of company. However, given he arrived at the hole with a two-shot lead and walked off trailing Patrick Cantlay by one after Cantlay birdied the 16th and 17th holes, no one's struggles on the 15th were more costly to their round on Saturday than Tommy's. We'll see if he can bounce back on the final three holes to try and get back into a share of the lead, but it appears another late stumble on Saturday will give him much more stress going into the final round as he chases his first career win. 

  Keegan Bradley posts the round of the day with a 63 to join the tie for second

Bradley one-upped his 64 on Friday with a 63 in the third round to climb the leaderboard once again, this time vaulting into a tie for second (and the current clubhouse lead) at 13 under. It was a phenomenal round of golf from the United States Ryder Cup captain, as he not only posted the low round of the day but he matched his low round of the season -- another 63 at the Travelers, which he won. While he came into the week wondering if he was playing well enough with growing pressure and responsibility as the captain, he's given himself an emphatic answer the last two days about whether he can compartmentalize the two jobs. Barring something catastrophic on Sunday, Bradley is leaving little doubt about his place on the team at Bethpage and another round in the 60s tomorrow would make his decision next week quite easy. 

  Tommy Fleetwood pushes lead back to 3

A birdie on the 13th hole has Fleetwood back in front by three at 16 under. After three pars to start the back nine, Fleetwood picked up a needed birdie before hitting the toughest stretch on the golf course with No. 14 (a 518-yard par 4) and No. 15 (a 220-yard par 3 to an island green), and has a few shots to play with over Russell Henley and Patrick Cantlay. We have seen this before from Fleetwood, but what will be most interesting to watch on his way into the clubhouse is whether he gives any shots back. In Memphis two weeks ago, he had late bogeys on Friday and Saturday that kept him from having a healthy cushion going into Sunday. At East Lake, he'll be looking to finish strong and give himself some shots to play with in the final round. 

      Russell Henley pulls within one with a birdie on No. 10

The Dawgs are barking at East Lake after Henley's latest birdie on the 10th to get to 14 under and trim Tommy Fleetwood's lead to one. Henley had a scratchy ball-striking front nine but hit a great drive and stuffed a wedge on the 10th to get back into red figures for his round and stay on the heels of Fleetwood, who darted in front with a run of four straight birdies late on the front nine. 

    Tommy Fleetwood doubles his lead with a 44-footer on the 7th

Tommy Fleetwood's lead is now two after his third consecutive birdie, as he poured in a 44-footer on the tough par-4 7th to give himself a bit of a bonus and add some cushion between himself and the field. Fleetwood is now 15 under, two ahead of Russell Henley and three clear of Patrick Cantlay, with another opportunity to add a fourth straight birdie at the drivable par-4 8th coming up. 

  Tommy Fleetwood takes the solo lead at 14 under

Fleetwood is now one ahead of Russell Henley and two clear of Patrick Cantlay after making back-to-back birdies on Nos. 5 and 6. Henley was unable to match Fleetwood on the par-5 6th after a dreadful drive led to a par, and not taking advantage of the two par 5s at East Lake will always frustrate players. Meanwhile in the chase pack, Scottie Scheffler has gotten hot with four birdies after a bogey-bogey start to get back in the hunt at 10 under, four back of the lead as he gets set to make the turn. 

  Fleetwood and Henley make early bogeys as the rain returns to give leaders a new challenge

The rain has returned in Atlanta, and while it's a fairly light rain, it's still enough to be a bit uncomfortable. There are now three tied for the lead at 12 under as Russell Henley and Tommy Fleetwood each have a bogey in their first four holes, while Patrick Cantlay has two quick birdies to join them with a growing group at 10 under behind them. We will see how much the weather impacts play the remainder of the afternoon, but as of now the final pairing have opened the door for a number of other players to get into the mix. 

    Patrick Cantlay picks up an early birdie to move into T2

All 30 players are now on the course, as Tommy Fleetwood and Russell Henley have teed off in the final pairing and they now have two players tied at -11 behind them. Patrick Cantlay picked up a birdie on No. 2 to join Cameron Young at 11 under, as he looks for his best finish of the season in the final tournament of the year. Keegan Bradley has stormed into 5th at 10 under, as he's 4 under thru 6 after making an eagle on the par-5 6th, as the captain is making an early weekend charge. 

  Keegan Bradley with a strong start to his weekend

The U.S. Ryder Cup captain has a pair of birdies in his first three holes to move into T6 at 8 under. Bradley's play is only furthering the challenge he'll face next Wednesday when picking his team, as he remains a strong candidate for one of the six remaining spots on the team. 

He spoke on Friday during an appearance on the TV broadcast about how the pressure of making the picks and his captain's responsibilities have been weighing on him and making it difficult to focus on on his own play. This week seems like a particularly important data point for him to identify whether he can handle those responsibilities while performing at the level he needs to if he's going to play at Bethpage. A top 10 would go a long way to proving that and might make it a bit easier to make himself the first U.S. playing captain in more than 60 years. 

  Justin Rose off to a wild start in significantly tougher conditions in Atlanta

It's been an eventful first five holes for Justin Rose, even though his score is even par for the day. The St. Jude winner from two weeks ago made a triple bogey on the first hole, but has birdied three of his last four to get back to even on the day and 1 under for the tournament. 

He is not alone in struggling earlier in very wet conditions, as Viktor Hovland (-2 thru 6) and Andrew Novak (-1 thru 3) are the only two players of the 12 on the course in red figures, with six players over par early in their rounds. The rain has stopped, so we'll see if scoring conditions improve, but to start, East Lake has presented a much stiffer challenge to start the weekend. 

  Play has begun, but rain will be a factor on Saturday

The third round has begun as scheduled, but there is a steady drizzle out at East Lake that players will have to contend with today. Rain is supposed to taper off as the afternoon wears on, so the leaders may avoid having to play in too much of it, which could help keep Tommy Fleetwood and Russell Henley separated from the field if conditions are more challenging early in the afternoon before they tee off at 3 p.m.