Why an altcoin season is closer than you think
Journalist
Posted: December 10, 2024
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- The altcoin season index dropped from 88 to 71.
- Bearish sentiment around ETH, SOL, and BNB was rising.
After comfortable rallies, altcoins seemed to have taken a backseat in the last 24 hours. However, the possibility of the arrival of an altcoin season can’t be ruled out yet.
This was the case as the altcoin market cap chart was following a similar pattern seen during previous cycles.
What are altcoins up to?
Top altcoins like Ethereum [ETH] , Binance Coin [BNB] , and Solana [SOL] have witnessed price corrections in the last 24 hours. Per CoinMarketCap , these coins’ prices dropped by 2.5%, 3.5%, and 4%, respectively, over the last day.
Even memecoins were not spared, as their fates were also similar. Dogecoin [DOGE] , the world’s largest memecoin’s value, declined by more than 5% during the same period.
It was interesting to note that not only altcoins, but the king of crypto, Bitcoin [BTC] also showed signs of a correction.
AMBCrypto had earlier reported that BTC’s MVRV ratio was reaching a historic level, which have been followed by price drops on previous instances.
But this latest trend might just be a diversion and a great opportunity for investors to buy coins at a lower price. Moustache, a popular crypto analyst, recently posted a tweet highlighting an intriguing pattern.
As per the tweet , altcoins market capitalization chart was following a similar trend seen previously during 2016 and 2020 altcoin seasons.
On each occasion, altcoins have rallied sharply after mimicking this pattern. Therefore, there were high chances of history repeating itself.
Source: X
Moustache also mentioned in the tweet that altcoins might quickly pick up pace in the coming weeks or months.
The altcoin season index registered a decline after touching 88. At pres time, the indicator had a value of 71.
Since this number of still close to 75, the possibility of an alt season arriving soon can’t be ruled out yet, considering 2016 and 2020s trend.
Source: Blockchaincenter
Mapping ETH, SOL, BNB’s path ahead
While past trends showed the arrival of an altcoin season, top alts didn’t respond accordingly, as mentioned above. The recent price declines also took a toll on their social metrics.
ETH, SOL, and BNB witnessed major declines in their weighted sentiments. This clearly meant that bearish sentiment around them was rising in the market.
Source: Santiment
Coinglass’ data revealed yet another bearish metric for all of these cryptos. Their long/short ratios dropped sharply in the 24-hour timeframe. Whenever the metric drops, it means that there are more short positions in the market than long positions—a sign of a price decline.
Read Ethereum’s [ETH] Price Prediction 2024–2025
Though these metrics suggested continued price drops, nothing can be said with utmost certainty.
Previous trends and the unpredictability of the crypto market might as well surprise investors and allow altcoins to rally in the coming weeks.
